A&M Moneyline +435
I see two very similar teams here... Both with lots of talent, one that has taken advantage of it all season long to be competitive, the
other who only lately has started to really take advantage of it. A&M has more talent than they did last year, yet have not been able to
put any of it together and got out to a completely horrible start. However, the last two games -- @Missouri and against Kansas --
they've been in striking distance the entire game.
K-State has also looked sharp, keeping within striking distance of both Oklahoma State and Kansas their last two games... But looking
earlier on in their schedule, I see a lot of the same "bad wins" that I saw my Aggies have... 4pt win against Wichita State, 5pt loss at Oregon State, 3pt win against Gardner Webb...
Basically, I see two teams with similar talent (possibly more on the A&M side) both starting to mesh as a team... I certainly feel like
A&M has more than a 20% chance of winning this game.
A longshot, but good reasoning for it: Baylor +2250
Last week Baylor played one of the better teams in the nation, Texas Tech, within 9 points -- and they were within 1 with less than 5 minutes to go in the game. While the game was @ Baylor, trust me when I say that there is no home-court advantage there fan-wise. A large reason why this was much closer than people envisioned was the reinstatement of two of Baylor's better players from last year, Guinn and Thomas. Thomas was 7 for 11 and put up 20 points, while Guinn was 2-4 with 5 points. I think this game Guinn takes a few more shots and contributes much more. Add to this Baylor's got a great coach in Drew, and they are playing a Nebraska team that likes to shoot up the 3 pointers... I think a team that is being competitive with the
talent they have out on the floor against upper-echelon teams is worth a big underdog shot against a 3-point shooting team that is still slightly above average.
I see two very similar teams here... Both with lots of talent, one that has taken advantage of it all season long to be competitive, the
other who only lately has started to really take advantage of it. A&M has more talent than they did last year, yet have not been able to
put any of it together and got out to a completely horrible start. However, the last two games -- @Missouri and against Kansas --
they've been in striking distance the entire game.
K-State has also looked sharp, keeping within striking distance of both Oklahoma State and Kansas their last two games... But looking
earlier on in their schedule, I see a lot of the same "bad wins" that I saw my Aggies have... 4pt win against Wichita State, 5pt loss at Oregon State, 3pt win against Gardner Webb...
Basically, I see two teams with similar talent (possibly more on the A&M side) both starting to mesh as a team... I certainly feel like
A&M has more than a 20% chance of winning this game.
A longshot, but good reasoning for it: Baylor +2250
Last week Baylor played one of the better teams in the nation, Texas Tech, within 9 points -- and they were within 1 with less than 5 minutes to go in the game. While the game was @ Baylor, trust me when I say that there is no home-court advantage there fan-wise. A large reason why this was much closer than people envisioned was the reinstatement of two of Baylor's better players from last year, Guinn and Thomas. Thomas was 7 for 11 and put up 20 points, while Guinn was 2-4 with 5 points. I think this game Guinn takes a few more shots and contributes much more. Add to this Baylor's got a great coach in Drew, and they are playing a Nebraska team that likes to shoot up the 3 pointers... I think a team that is being competitive with the
talent they have out on the floor against upper-echelon teams is worth a big underdog shot against a 3-point shooting team that is still slightly above average.
